Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Existing home sales spike 5%

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Sales of existing homes unexpectedly rose in February, recovering from a sharp drop in the previous month, according to an industry report released Monday.

The National Association of Realtors said that existing home sales rose last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.72 million million units, up 5.1% from a rate of 4.49 million in January. February sales were down nearly 5% from year ago levels.

Economists surveyed by Briefing.com were expecting existing home sales to decline to 4.45 million.

The report said first-time buyers made up half of all purchases in February, and that sales of distressed properties accounted for about 45% of all transactions.

Sales were unexpectedly strong in the West, with activity increasing more than 30% over last year.

"February wasn't too shabby for the existing-home market," said Mike Larson, real estate analyst at Weiss Research. "The catch? The increase in sales activity is coming at the expense of pricing."

The national median existing-home price was $165,400 in February, down 15.5% from last year, when the median price was $195,800.

Prices were depressed by the large number of foreclosed properties on the market, said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun in a statement.

"Our analysis shows that distressed homes typically are selling for 20% less than the normal market price, and this naturally is drawing down the overall median price."
Meanwhile, the total number of existing homes on the market at the end of February rose 5.2% to 3.80 million units. At the current sales pace, it would take an estimated 9.7 months to sell down that inventory of properties.

The report also said the total number of homes for sale has steadily declined over the past six months from a record level last July.

Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, said there's a "good chance" the collapse in home sales that has been going on since September is "now over." "Though a sustained recovery is still a long way off," he added.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Home prices rise 1.7% in January, federal regulator says

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. home prices rose 1.7% in January compared with December, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported Tuesday. It was the first monthly increase in a year. Home prices are down 6.3% in the past year and are down 9.6% from the peak in April 2006, the agency said. The "unexpected rise" was partially due to stronger sales in some markets, FHFA said. Prices rose or were flat in eight of nine regions in January; only the Pacific states registered a decline, down 0.9%. Prices rose 3.9% in the East North Central region, which includes most of the Great Lakes states.

Monday, March 23, 2009

Banks burdened as Washington foreclosure auctions slow


Puget Sound Business Journal (Seattle) - by Jeanne Lang Jones & Kirsten Grind Staff Writers
Media








On the cold, bright morning of Friday, March 13, Glen Hayton stepped outside the King County Administration building in Seattle. Normally, he might auction dozens of houses seized in foreclosure.

But instead the auctioneer spent the first half hour announcing scores of sales that had been canceled or postponed.

Welcome to the new foreclosure market.

Out of 172 homes tracked by the Puget Sound Business Journal since December, only five sold at auction on the appointed day. The homes, a week’s worth of foreclosures in King County, show how drastically the housing market has changed.

Repossessed homes used to be easy to unload. During the housing boom, banks could take homes back and sell them at auction at a reasonable discount. Seasoned buyers with pockets full of six-figure cashiers’ checks bumped elbows with young couples and newbies looking to get a deal on a starter home.

Now, with prices falling, buyers are wary and few homes are selling at auction. Instead, they’re piling up on lenders’ books, costing hundreds of dollars a month in carrying costs and exposing lenders to the risk of further price declines.

Sales also are stalling as the troubled owners try to work out deals with their lenders. They’re finding lenders are much more willing to negotiate.

The growing number of foreclosed homes in limbo shows a new dimension of the historic foreclosure crisis. It is slowing the housing market’s recovery and undermining house values. The median price of a single-family home in King County has fallen about 13 percent in the past year.

The situation could get worse. More mortgages are due to reset in the next two years, potentially at higher rates. Unemployment, now 8.4 percent in Washington, is expected to continue rising, threatening the ability of more homeowners to keep up with their mortgage payments.

Some lenders fear homeowners who are underwater on their mortgages will just walk away from homes that now are worth less than what’s owed on them.

“We have cases where people are tapped out,” said Ron McKenzie, a vice president at Seattle-based Washington Federal Savings. “They’ll call us one day and say, ‘I can’t make any more payments. Where do I leave my keys?’”

The property is perfect: a five-bedroom house on nearly two acres of land, tucked away in the country surrounding Covington.
Charlene Binfet is ecstatic.
It’s a sunny Saturday at the end of February, only three weeks before the family’s five-bedroom house in Auburn is due to be sold at King County’s foreclosure auction.
Like thousands of others around the country, Charlene and Joseph Binfet can no longer make payments on their $303,000 mortgage. They’ve considered their options: a short sale, potential government rescue or working out new loan terms. They’re not sure how it’s going to work out.
Charlene and one of her three teenage sons have driven out on a whim to see a rental property, listed for only $1,500 a month on a real estate website.
At first, Charlene thinks it’s too good to be true.
How can such a spacious property — with a house that’s 900 square feet larger than their current home — cost less than half their monthly mortgage payment?
She and her son get a tour from the caretaker of the land. It includes a 60-year-old farm house, and it needs some work.
But the Binfets are willing to put in the sweat equity, if it means establishing another home. They are trying to separate themselves from their five-bedroom Auburn home, in foreclosure after Joe Binfet’s salary as a lumber salesman took a hit following the housing market downturn.
They’ve lived there for six years and owned it for four. It was their first foray into homeownership.
Charlene and her son are falling in love with the new house already when they spy the real prize: a 1,500-sqaure-foot tool shop, complete with a hydraulic lift.
Perfect for Joe Binfet, who has had a harder time letting go of the family’s Auburn house.
Charlene’s son keeps nudging her. “You have to call Dad, you have to call Dad,” he says.
She catches Joe at work on a house remodel. “I have a bomb to drop on you,” Charlene says. “I just happened to come across this property and you have to come look at it today.”
Days later, the family has put the first month’s rent down.
They start collecting moving boxes. For the first time since December, when they received notice that their house would be sold in foreclosure auction, they have a plan.
Charlene is relieved. The struggle is nearly over.

Foreclosures are on the rise, but most homes aren’t reaching the auction block any more. The number of properties that were scheduled to go to King County’s foreclosure auctions nearly doubled last year from 2007, climbing to 4,492.

But at the same time, the number that actually got to auction and sold fell by 40 percent. Now, just under one in 10 properties actually changes hands at an auction, according to a tally by ForeclosurePoint, a national property tracking service.

About half of the sales are called off or postponed. The remaining third go back to the bank — more than twice as many as the year before.

The trend is accelerating. In the foreclosures the Business Journal tracked from the week of Dec. 8, sales of 66 percent of the homes were postponed, either because the delinquent homeowners were working out new payment plans with their lenders or had filed for bankruptcy.

Sales were canceled for another 21 percent of the houses, likely because the owners had negotiated a loan modification or managed to sell their houses ahead of the auction.

Ten percent went back to the bank.

Just five houses, less than 3 percent of the total, actually sold.

Of those, only two attracted much bidding.

“There are more foreclosures, but there are less people at auction because nobody’s really secure about the market,” said Dean Street, a longtime local foreclosure broker representing real estate investors.

The voice of auction crier Hayton announcing property sales on the steps of the King County Administration Building is barely audible over the wailing of ambulances and roar of buses.
About 20 investors, real estate agents and foreclosure specialists are huddling around, thumbing through thick packets of property listings.
It’s a week after a moratorium on foreclosures under federal lending programs has ended. They are expecting a big day of sales. But as they strain to hear about the properties they’re interested in, auction after auction is called off. The crier rattles off names and addresses in a clipped monotone.
“Binfet,” he calls as he reaches the family’s five-bedroom home in Auburn. The family isn’t there.
“This sale is canceled.”
A few minutes later, he starts to auction the first home. He asks for bidders. No one in the crowd responds. The same thing happens for the first half-dozen properties that Hayton tries to sell. No bidders, no sale. Finally, he comes to one where the starting price is low enough that buyers step up.

Four years ago, lenders would see multiple bidders on a foreclosed property and investors would typically pay 82 cents on the dollar for homes being auctioned, said Christopher Hall of Vestus Foreclosure Group in Kirkland. With home prices climbing each year, they could expect to unload the home later at a profit.

Now there may be only one or two bidders on a property — and they typically pay only 65 cents to 75 cents on the dollar, Hall said. Paying more is just too risky.

Partly it’s because housing prices are sliding. Partly, it’s because it’s harder to get financing. In the past, speculators at an auction would tap their line of credit or turn to hard-money lenders for a bridge loan. At worst, the hard-money loan would cover the purchase price of the house for up to six months with an interest rate of up to 12 percent and a cash down payment of up to 20 percent. Fees range from 3 to 5 percent of the value of the house.

Investors could always refinance into a traditional mortgage later on.

“You could go down there with a little bit of money, flip it and make 30 grand in sixty days,” said Chris Matty, chief marketing officer at Bellevue-based DepotPoint, the owner of the ForeclosurePoint service.

With fewer investors now to snap up the properties, banks are forced to take them back.

That puts them in the position of playing property manager and real estate agent, and often selling the home at a discount anyway. It also stresses banks at a time when most also are struggling with steep losses on commercial real estate loans.

When a bank takes back a house and can’t sell it, the carrying costs can run to about 10 percent of the value of the home, or between $40,000 to $50,000 for a typical Puget Sound area property, according to several foreclosure experts. Those costs include taxes, insurance and fixing up and maintaining the property.

Washington Federal Savings, one of the few local banks with mortgage loans on its books, has found that the cost of carrying a house also depends on the condition of the property and the neighborhood. Some homeowners clean up before they leave, others aren’t so gracious.

“We had a property in Seattle where we had to go do an eviction with the sheriff recently and it probably cost us between $2,000 and $4,000 to haul all the garbage away,” said McKenzie of Washington Federal.

Those costs mount over time, particularly in more distressed areas of the country. “We may be holding that property for six to nine months before we make a sale,” said McKenzie, who manages the bank’s special credit group. The bank’s goal is to offload all Real Estate Owned, or REO, properties within a year.

Washington Federal has seen a sharp pickup in REOs. At the end of 2008, it had $61.9 million in inventory, up from $37 million on Sept. 30, as foreclosures rose among developers and homeowners in the eight states it serves. Home mortgage foreclosures represent less than half the total.

“We’re losing money the minute we stop getting payments from people,” said a Washington Federal spokeswoman.

Mounting losses are making banks more willing to deal.

“Foreclosures really are our last choice,” said Susan Greenwald, a senior vice president and director of family lending operations at HomeStreet Bank. The Seattle-based bank services 42,000 mortgage loans backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration lending programs, along with a small portfolio of its own home loans.

Greenwald estimates the bank is able to work out new payment programs about 90 percent of the time. As a result, the bank only has one foreclosure in Seattle, Greenwald said.

It helps that the housing market here isn’t as bad as other parts of the country. She points out that just over two dozen Fannie Mae loans are in foreclosure in Seattle, compared with more than 900 in Phoenix.

But there are limits to what banks are putting on the table. Even the Obama administration’s new homeowner affordability plan requires loan modifications to cost less than foreclosure, she said.

“At the end of the day, it is still a business,” Greenwald said. “We still have to look out for the financial interests of the lenders in servicing the loans.”

For consumers, this means there’s wiggle room with banks that wasn’t available even six months ago.

“They absolutely will reduce the principal owed,” said Hall of Vestus Foreclosure Group. “They would much rather take the discount now than take it later. In a normal market a bank may not care if it gets the house back — it can sell it for close to the debt owed. Now that is not the case.”

Who eats the loss when a house sells for less than the loan?

In Washington and other Western states, lenders traditionally have chosen to settle foreclosures out of court, rather than have terms dictated by a judge. That means lenders have to absorb the loss. But they save the time and cost of going to court. They can still go after the debtors with a lawsuit, but few bother.

“People who lose their homes do not have much anyway — why waste your time,” said attorney Danial Pharris, a principal at the Seattle law firm of Lasher Holzapfel Sperry & Ebberson PLLC.

In the middle of February 2009, Charlene and Joe file for Chapter 13 bankruptcy.
The filing effectively postpones their foreclosure sale for several months, a tactic used by some families to delay losing their homes. That’s why their March 13 sale was canceled. They are now part of the backlog of unsold homes.
It is the family’s third bankruptcy since 1993. They bought their Auburn house in late 2004, after only recently emerging from their second Chapter 7 bankruptcy filing.
The Binfets see this most recent bankruptcy as the only logical way out of their growing pile of debt.
In their filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Washington, the couple lists assets of $329,397 and liabilities of $468,349.
Their assets range from their Chrysler van worth $15,150 and their 401(k) worth $6,797. Their biggest asset is their house, worth $301,000.
Because the Binfets file a Chapter 13 bankruptcy — “the good kind,” says Charlene — they are required to pay off their debts through a payment plan. Previously, when they filed Chapter 7s, their debt was wiped out.
Now the court has ordered them to make monthly payments of $600 for five years to clear their debt. Coupled with their new rent of $1,500, they’ll pay $2,100 a month, or about $1,000 less than their old mortgage payment.
They will not keep their home. They are working with Litton Loan of Texas and HomeEq of California, the servicers of their first and second mortgages, Charlene says, to sell the Auburn house in a short sale. They are done trying to save it.
But they are not done with homeownership. They plan to spend the next several years renting until their youngest child — now a freshman in high school — has graduated.
Then they will buy again, likely the house that Charlene says they’ll retire in eventually. By the time they enter the housing market once more, the family expects their credit will be repaired. And so, hopefully, will be the wreckage of the recession and the housing market’s downturn.
“We have enjoyed owning our own home,” Charlene says recently. “This is just Plan B

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Mortgage meltdown sends newcomers and old hands in search of bargains

. PT, Thurs., March. 19, 2009





BELLEVUE, Wash. - Opportunity is knocking in the chilly winter air of this Seattle suburb, and Rock Harrison intends to answer it.

Built like a linebacker and sporting a mustache-goatee combo, Harrison, 37, is one of three dozen people who have gathered around an aluminum picnic table outside an office building in a strip mall for one of two weekly public foreclosure auctions in Washington’s King County.

Harrison and four competitors have qualified to bid on a 3,300-square-foot McMansion on an acre lot in the south county town of Auburn. The house last sold for $470,450 more than four years ago, the county assesses it at $577,000, and well over $600,000 is owed against it on a pair of loans.
But the foreclosing lender, trying to recoup what it can in an area of plummeting real estate prices, has set the opening bid at just $267,000. Interest is high because most would-be buyers figure the house, currently vacant and in decent shape, can be quickly resold for about $500,000.

A short, bespectacled crier presides over the auction from one end of the picnic table.



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The bidding quickly leaps over $300,000, going up $3,000 and $4,000 at a pop, with offers from all participants. Above $320,000, where Harrison drops out, it becomes a two-man contest, each new bid often just $100 or $200 above the last. After more than 10 minutes and 75 bids, the property finally sells for just under $371,000.

Harrison tosses his bidding card on the table, tugs on his baseball cap with its Skidoo logo and awaits his next prospect.

The Bellevue bidders are participating in what is one of the few growth areas in the battered U.S. real estate industry. While savvy investors have long profited from dealing in distressed properties, the soaring rate of U.S. home foreclosures over the past few years has attracted mainstream interest and crowds of new bidders.

“We’ve seen a sea change over the last three years,” said Rick Sharga, senior vice president of marketing for California-based RealtyTrac, an Internet service aimed at participants in the real estate foreclosure market.

On track for 3 million?
Sharga’s company, one of the most oft-quoted sources of nationwide foreclosure data, predicts that up to 3 million U.S. homes will face foreclosure proceedings this year — three to four times the normal number. Properties in foreclosure, “a niche market for so long,” have become so numerous that “now, conservatively, at least 50 to 60 percent of people who are in the market to buy a house are at least considering a foreclosure purchase,” Sharga said. “Historically, that simply hasn’t been the case.”

Foreclosure, or the threat of it, can lead to the disposal of real estate in three basic ways: a pre-foreclosure sale, often done as a “short sale,” in which the lender is willing to accept less than what is owed on the note; a trustee’s sale at public auction on the proverbial “courthouse steps,” with the property going to the highest bidder, often the lender itself; or post-foreclosure sales of properties that have reverted to the lenders, sometimes called REOs for “real estate owned.” And trustee sales should not be confused with giant auditorium “foreclosure auctions,” in which banks and other property owners dispose of portfolios of land and homes that they have taken back in earlier foreclosure procedures.

There’s no way to know how many foreclosed homes nationwide are actually sold to third parties at trustee sale auctions, said Sharga, who is probably in a better position than anyone else to know. Conventional wisdom puts the figure at about 20 percent, but “everyone’s estimate right now is that there are a much smaller percentage of properties being bought that way and a huge number are being taken back by banks,” which are entitled to set a minimum bid of what they are owed on a foreclosed note.

Spot figures confirm the lower rate. In California last year, just 3.6 percent of 249,940 properties sold at trustee auctions went to third-party buyers, according to the Web site ForeclosureRadar.com. In King County, Wash., where Harrison was bidding last week, just seven of 125 properties scheduled for auction were bought by third parties.
While short sales and REO homes are often listed and advertised for sale in ways identical to non-distressed property, generating commissions for agents who list and sell them, such is not the case with property destined for a trustee-sale auction.

“Realtors have absolutely zero interest in a trustee sale,” Sharga said. And investors who have been attending auctions for years have little interest in new competition. As a result, the process often remains shrouded in mystery. “It’s sort of a secret society without formal membership dues,” Sharga said.

For most first-timers, uneducated in advance, the action at a typical public auction would be impossible to follow. At most, there are no signs, no official programs, no helpful public employees. The auction criers are nothing like the mile-a-minute-talking, spittle-spewing, gavel-banging auctioneers who preside over livestock sales. They generally speak calmly and softly, heard only by the crowd in their immediate vicinity. It can be hard to tell from just a few feet away when an auction has started or finished. The only clear signal is when money changes hands.
But the regulars — who often appear to be dressed more for a ballgame than a high-stakes financial transaction as they shuffle papers and communicate furtively with partners and investors via ubiquitous Bluetooth earpieces — know exactly what’s going on. They are bidding on houses to hold as rental properties, to renovate and resell, or, less often, to move into themselves. Some are bidding for clients who don’t want to attend the auctions in person.

The most important thing to understand is the terms of payment, said Duane Harden, a Manhattan-based investor who has bought a couple of dozen foreclosed properties at auctions in several states since 2001. In New York, winning bidders must immediately fork over 10 percent of the purchase price and pay the balance within 30 to 45 days, he said.

“Do your homework,” he stressed in an interview with msnbc.com. “Know if they are going to deliver a clear title, know your redemption rules” which protect the foreclosed homeowner’s right, if any, to buy the auctioned property back. In Washington state, bidders must pay the full purchase price on the spot with cash or a cashier’s check. In fact, they must “qualify” for a maximum amount for each property they want to bid for by showing the auctioneer their money.

There are plenty of other potential pitfalls when it comes to buying real estate at auction, which Sharga of RealtyTrac called “the highest-risk way” of obtaining distressed property. Bidders must be sure of what they’re getting, or they’ll “wind up buying a lemon,” he said. “There’s no recourse once you buy a property at an auction. If you didn’t realize all the wiring had been ripped out, if you didn’t find out there were two tax liens and three mechanics’ liens, that’s your problem, too.”

Hundreds of specialized firms
To help investors avoid those problems and deal with many other challenges of buying distressed property, both at auction and not, hundreds of specialized companies have sprung up, from local real estate offices to RealtyTrac and its 1.9 million foreclosure listings at the national level.



“There’s traditional real estate, which is 99.9 percent of what’s out there, and then there’s us,” said Harley Dufek, 34, a partner in Real Estate Investment Firm of Redmond, Wash. A key part of the small company’s business is advising clients on buying at auction. These days, the company is using the public auctions as a marketing opportunity, handing out free packets of information on the properties that will be offered as a means of enticing auction newcomers to a weekly seminar where they can sign up as clients.

At the seminar, company founder Matthew Steel explains how his partners and employees pore over lists of homes scheduled for auction, drive through neighborhoods, peer into back yards, try to legally see inside houses wherever they can, and research mortgages, title status, tax liens, building permits and zoning.

He shows off the Web site where the firm’s registered clients can access all the data if they are willing to agree to pay a 3 percent commission on any properties they buy at foreclosure auctions. Becoming a client also gives an investor access to short-term financing and the luxury of having someone with Steel’s firm handle the actual bidding. Since investors often must bid on many properties to actually buy just one, such services can eliminate the need to shuffle funds from one cashier’s check to another and take time away from other tasks to attend the auctions.

Big risks, big rewards
Steel, 32, who has operated his own businesses since he was a high school senior, exudes enthusiasm about foreclosure auctions but cautions that “it takes work.

“There are extra liabilities. That’s why at a foreclosure auction you can get such good deals,” he said.

To Steele, a good deal at a foreclosure auction means buying a property for about 70 percent to 80 percent of its current value.

Christopher Hall, founder of Vestus, which he says buys 40 percent of all properties that sell to third parties at Washington state foreclosure auctions, said the prices paid by his firm at recent auctions range from 67 percent to 71 percent, down from 78 percent to 82 percent a year ago.

RealtyTrac advises its members that “a reasonable purchase amount at auction is at least 20 percent below full market value, and much better deals are often possible,” but Sharga notes that some buyers have unreasonable expectations. A recent survey by his firm found that 30 percent of consumers think they ought to get a 50 percent discount on a home bought at auctionPeople pay too much attention to infomercials,” Sharga said. “There is a myth and a misperception that you’re going to go to these auctions and buy properties for nothing. There are those properties. Go to Cleveland, you can buy a property for a few hundred dollars, but it’s in Cleveland, probably a part of Cleveland you don’t want to live in, and you’re not going to move your family there.”

Still, every serious player in the foreclosure auction game has stories about deals that seem almost too good to be true. For Harden, the Manhattan investor, it was a property mistakenly listed as a single unit. “It was two,” he said. “I got two for the price of one.” Likewise, Harrison, the Bellevue bidder, learned through extra homework that a house on an island in Puget Sound sat on two acres, not one, as listed in foreclosure documents. He was the only bidder who knew that.

And the insiders also have plenty of auction horror stories.



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Recently, Steel said, an auction newcomer bought a home in a neighboring Washington county for $200,000. By all appearances, the home was easily worth twice that amount on the open market. However, “he bought a second-mortgage position,” said Steel, which meant that there was a first mortgage, likely for more than $200,000, still owing on the home. To make matters worse, the buyer was probably the only person at the auction who didn’t realize what he was doing. Some of the regular auction-goers were happy to see new competition so quickly derailed.

“If we see that kind of thing, we point it out,” Steel said, but “if you’re at an auction and think you’re getting something for 50 cents on the dollar and everybody else is standing around watching, something is wrong.”

That’s why Steel and everyone else on the bidding side who spoke with msnbc.com stressed education, information and patience when asked how they would advise newcomers to prepare for auctions.

A ringside seat
When Manhattan investor Duane Harden’s mother, Rose, wanted to try her hand at foreclosure auctions, her son “told me, ‘Mom, just go to the courthouse and learn how to do it.’” So Rose Harden, a resident of Georgia at the time, did just that: “I took me a folding chair, and I learned the rhythm and the recipe of it.” A short time later, she and her son bought three homes at an auction in Savannah, Ga.

Some auction participants said newcomers should be aware of the stigma associated with being a party to proceedings that can ultimately force families from their homes, whether they were owners or renters. In some cases, the new owner must actually evict them. But Dufek points out that his firm works with troubled sellers just as earnestly as with opportunistic buyers, and he said win-win situations can sometimes be created through short sales or leasebacks.

Dufek said it is important for bidders to know their “exit strategies” when buying foreclosed homes. While more and more auction buyers are seeking a one-time good deal on a primary residence for themselves, many regulars are still looking for rental properties or “flips,” homes they can quickly resell.


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Steel finds current conditions unattractive for flipping, although his firm still works with clients who want to speculate that way. “I’m absolutely against it,” he said. “This is a great time to buy and hold.”

The Hardens strictly seek rentals, meaning any properties they buy have to “cash flow” immediately. “Equity investing” in real estate these days, or counting on appreciation, “is gambling,” Duane Harden said. “You might as well go to Atlantic City.”

But Harrison, who bowed out of the bidding on the big vacant house in Auburn, Wash., still sees lots of room for cautious speculation, especially for a contractor like himself who can accurately size up what a house needs to make it market-ready and then get the work done quickly.

The value of uncertainty
“I personally like massively trashed places,” he said. “They really scare people. The look horrible, but I’m going to strip all that out anyway. A vacant house that has little fix-up goes for a premium. The houses that are occupied, trashed or with question marks or permits or zoning, those are very intimidating to people.”

After losing the first house, Harrison bid on and picked up another on a good street in the popular Greenlake neighborhood of Seattle. He paid $330,000 for a 1,740-square-foot, three-bedroom home that was built in 2000 and is valued by the county at $509,000.

Far from “massively trashed,” the biggest problem with the house is that “it’s really plain.” He’ll fix that with some stone work outside and paint and carpet on the inside and quickly have it on the market.

Asking price? “Around $425,000,” Harrison said with a smile

Fixed-rate mortgages near record low!!

Fixed-rate mortgages near record low
Average 30-year loan below 5% for first time in two months
By Amy Hoak, MarketWatch
Last update: 10:42 a.m. EDT March 19, 2009Comments: 13CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Rates on fixed-rate mortgages dropped to near record lows this week, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage making an encore appearance below 5%, according to Freddie Mac's weekly survey of conforming mortgage rates, released on Thursday.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.98% for the week ending March 19, down from 5.03% last week. The mortgage averaged 5.87% a year ago. It hasn't been lower since the week ending Jan. 15, when it hit record low of 4.96%. Read why 5% may be the bottom for mortgage rates.
Fifteen-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.61% this week, down from 4.64% last week and 5.27% a year ago. The 15-year mortgage hasn't been lower since the week ending June 13, 2003, when it averaged 4.60%.

"Following the March 18 Federal Reserve monetary policy statement, which announced further spending initiatives on financial assets, long-term bond yields plummeted. Yields on 10-year Treasury bonds fell by about a half percentage point after the announcement, marking the largest one-day decline since Oct. 20, 1987

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 4.98%, down slightly from last week's 4.99%. The ARM averaged 5.56% a year ago.
But 1-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 4.91%, up from 4.80% last week, yet still lower than its 5.15% average a year ago.
To obtain the rates, all mortgages in the survey required payment of an average 0.7 point. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
The Mortgage Bankers Association on Wednesday said that the volume of mortgage applications filed was up a seasonally adjusted 21.2% last week, compared with the week before.

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Single-family building permits rise 11% in February

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Boosted by an 82% increase in construction of apartment buildings, U.S. housing starts surged 22% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 583,000, the Commerce Department estimated Tuesday.
It was the largest percentage gain in 19 years and was the first increase in eight months in the sector that was at ground zero in the global economic recession. The housing data in winter months are especially volatile because of the weather.
Video: The latest batch of economic data
John Lonski, chief economist at Moody's Capital Markets, interprets the latest economic data on housing starts and the producer price index. MarketWatch's Kelsey Hubbard reports. (March 17)Building permits, which are less volatile than the starts data, rose 3% in February to a 547,000 annual rate. Permits for single-family units rose 11% to a 373,000 rate, the largest percentage gain in 18 years.
"We're inclined to write this off as a weather-related fluke for now," wrote economists for Wrightson ICAP. "If the permits series can hold onto its gains in next month's March report, though, we'll take it as a sign that new construction has finally found a floor (albeit a very low one)."
"We hold to the view that the level of housing construction is becoming so low in absolute terms that starts will bottom out in the months ahead," wrote John Ryding and Conrad DeQuadros of RDQ Economics.
Construction of new housing units had plunged 38% in the previous three months before February's unexpected jump. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast a further drop to 456,000, despite an expected surge in multifamily construction.
But despite February's gain, housing starts are down 47% from a year ago, and are down 74% from the peak in early 2006. Permits are down 44% in the past year.
Builders are trying to reduce their inventories of unsold homes as they face relentless competition from older homes thrown on the market by foreclosures or short-sales.
"With new home sales still falling and the months' supply at a record there is no reason for homebuilding to rise," wrote Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics.
The mood of home builders' has rarely been worse. The National Association of Home Builders reported Monday that its sentiment index was stuck at 9 on a scale of 1 to 100 in March. See full story.
The government cautions that its monthly housing data are volatile and subject to large sampling and other statistical errors. In most months, the government can't be sure whether starts increased or decreased. In February for instance, the standard error for starts was plus or minus 13.8%. Large revisions are common.
It can take four months for a new trend in housing starts to emerge from the data. In the past four months, housing starts have averaged 568,000 annualized, down from 614,000 in the four months ending in January.
Details
February's housing start rate of 583,000 was the highest since November. January's starts were revised higher to a 477,000 pace, a record low dating back to the 1940s.
Completions of housing units rose 2.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 785,000. Completions of single-family homes fell 8.2% to a record-low 505,000.
The number of units under construction fell 2.7% to a 762,000 annual rate. Single-family homes under construction dropped 3.4% to 370,000, the lowest in 38 years.
Starts rose 89% in the Northeast, rose 58% in the Midwest, rose 30% in the South and fell 25% in the

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Thanks to banks, fewer homes up for auction

SEATTLE - It's a seeming contradiction - the number of foreclosed homes up for auction at the King County Courthouse is going down while the number of home foreclosures last month was up.


http://www.komonews.com/news/40006647.html?video=YHI&t=a


But there's a logical explanation.

A week ago, four of the nation's largest banks agreed to put a temporary stop on foreclosures. And the result is a temporary moment of calm for people who fear they may be about to lose their homes.

Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and JP Morgan Chase have all put temporary moratoriums on foreclosures until March 6.

The big banks' latest halt on foreclosures is actually the third temporary stop on foreclosures since November.

And as a result, brokers and investors who attend these auctions on a regular basis say they are seeing a slowdown.

This week's foreclosure list started with 322 homes on the block. But by Thursday, the list was already down to 122.

The auctions mostly amount to bidding wars for a select few investors who can pay cash on the spot, for a winning bid on a foreclosed home.

And then there are desperate people like Gwendolyn Chambliss, hanging on the outside, hoping for a miracle. Her foreclosed Central District home is on the block.

"I've never been here before, I don't know what the process is," she said Friday as she tried to find out whether her home had been sold.

With the help of a professional broker, she found out her lender pulled the house off the auction block because there were no qualified bidders - nobody interested.

The broker said the home would probably go back to the bank because it doesn't have a minimum bid - and that happens often.

And therein lies another reason for the slowdown in the number of foreclosed homes at auction.

Christopher Hall, owner of Vestus Foreclosure Group, says the big banks' moratorium is mostly responsible for the drop, specifically for adjustable rate mortgage properties that are owner-occupied.

"So it's a good thing, bad thing," he says.

It's bad for investors who are seeing few killer deals, and good for every homeowner - foreclosed or not, because it's going to protect home values.

But Gwedolyn Chambliss isn't that lucky. She filed bankruptcy and moved out before the hold on foreclosures was put in place.

"It was to the point where the mortgage lender didn't want to give us a chance," she says.

Washington state's foreclosure rate is still lower than the national average.

And now everyone is also waiting to see if President Obama's $75 billion housing plan will trickle down to those facing foreclosure the hold is lifted on March 6.

A Great video on Spokane Foreclosure rate.

Spokane foreclosure rate jumps 50-percent

Paste the link below on your browser window

http://www.kxly.com/global/video/flash/popupplayer.asp?clipId1=3521135&at1=News&vt1=v&h1=Spokane+foreclosure+rate+jumps+50%2Dpercent&d1=173433&redirUrl=www.kxly.com&activePane=info&LaunchPageAdTag=homepage&clipFormat=flv&rnd=43642498

Friday, March 6, 2009

WASHINGTON — More than half of the nation's foreclosures last year took place in 35 counties, a sign that the financial crisis devastating the national economy may have begun with collapsing home loans in only a few corners of the country.
Those counties, spread over a dozen states, accounted for more than 1.5 million foreclosure actions last year, a USA TODAY analysis of figures compiled by the real estate listing firm RealtyTrac shows — more than were recorded in the entire United States just two years earlier. They were the epicenter of a wave of foreclosures that have left leading banks teetering and magnified the nation's economic problems.


GOOD NEWS: Foreclosures down 10%
"This crisis was triggered by foreclosures, and a lot of those were in a very small number of areas," says William Lucy, a University of Virginia professor who has studied the link between lenders and faltering home loans. Banks spread the risk and "it became like a car with no reverse gear. Once it starts to go over the cliff, it's gone."

In other parts of the country, the foreclosure wave was barely a ripple — at least until it started swamping major banks that had invested heavily in mortgages. Banking giant Wachovia Corp., for example, was hammered after California and Florida customers of one mortgage firm it bought began defaulting at high rates. The risks of such lending were spread so broadly among financial institutions that, when the loans went bad, it drove the national credit crisis, says Christopher Mayer, who studies real estate at Columbia Business School.


A few of the 35 counties leading the foreclosure boom are in already-distressed areas around Detroit and Cleveland. But most are clustered in places such as Southern California, Las Vegas, Phoenix, South Florida and Washington, where home values shot up dramatically in the first half of the decade, then began to crumble.

RealtyTrac's counts of foreclosure actions include default notices, auctions and repossessions by lenders, and can sometimes count the same property twice. As a result, they tend to be higher than estimates from other tracking firms. But they remain one of the best geographic measures of the nation's housing collapse.

The Obama administration on Wednesday detailed a $75 billion plan to keep more homeowners from slipping into foreclosure by helping them refinance loans or reduce their monthly payments. But that effort could face political challenges because most of the foreclosure problem has been so concentrated in a few areas, says Brookings Institution researcher Alan Mallach.

The worst-hit counties are home to about 20% of U.S. households, but accounted for just over 50% of the nation's foreclosure actions last year, driving most of the national increase. And even among those places, a few stand out: Eight counties in Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada were the source of about a quarter of the nation's foreclosures last year.

In more than 650 other counties — about a fifth of the nation — the number of foreclosure actions actually dropped since 2006.